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Why you should not buy IPOs As Sheng Siong is launching its IPO next month, I expected a few calls as whenever an IPO is launching. And if you are my client, you know my answer. I decide to write this article so everybody can benefit...

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Questions to ask your Financial Adviser Every Sunday morning when I read the newspapers, I always see articles or advertisements regarding "Financial Advisers". Nowadays, just like the once prestigious word "Banker", which is misused in the...

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Revision to Nomination of Insurance Nominees Regulation With the onset of the Mental Capacity Act ("MCA") coming into effect on 1st March 2010, the Insurance (Nomination of Beneficiaries) Regulations 2009 ("the Regulations") will be amended to effect 2 changes: The...

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The ABCs of the Financial Advisers Act The title, Financial Adviser, is always mis-used in the industry and misunderstood by the consumers. On 10 October 2002, the Financial Advisers Act came into effect and all financial institutions are...

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Moratorium Underwriting by Aviva It is a common that insurance companies do not cover pre-existing condition. Typically, pre-existing conditions will be excluded with little or no chance of them being covered, even after a number of treatment-free...

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Lessons to learn from Bill Gross

Category : Unit Trust

In Mar this year, the world most prominent bond fund manager, Bill Gross, dumped all his exposure to U.S. government holdings in his more than $240 billion Pimco Total Return Fund, the largest bond fund in the world. His rationale: Who Will Buy Treasuries When The Fed Doesn’t?

To give you some background about Bill Gross. Morningstar named Mr. Gross and his investment team Fixed Income Manager of the Decade for 2000-2009 and Fixed Income Manager of the Year for 1998, 2000, and 2007 (the first three-time recipient).

He received the Bond Market Association’s Distinguished Service Award in 2000 and became the first portfolio manager inducted into the Fixed Income Analysts Society’s hall of fame in 1996. (Source: PIMCO Website)

However, this bet does not seem to work well. At the end of Aug, Bill Gross has admitted that it was a mistake to bet so heavily against the price of US government debt. Below is a chart comparing Pimco Total Return Fund and Spdr Barclays Aggregate Bond ETF (which is tracking Pimco Total Return Fund’s benchmark).

The reason of the underperformance, as we all know, was due to investors to rush to the safety of government bonds,

Pimco Total Return Fund vs Spdr Barclays Aggregate Bond ETF (Source: FE)

So what are the lessons for investors?

 

Lesson 1: Even the most gifted investment guru could be wrong.

Investors should stop seeking prophesy from newspapers, magazines, or some “investment gurus”. Nobody knows the future. Whenever there is market crashes or some IPO shot up to the sky. Some people will jump in front of you and say “Hey, I told you!”.

I always ask these people one question, “so did you profit from it?” Most of the time, I will get a silence. As I always quote this to my client, “Even a broken clock is correct twice a day“.

Lesson 2: If you made a mistake in investing, don’t grieve or regret. Correct your mistake, gear up and move on

You may lose a battle, but don’t lose the war! In investment world, it does not matter whether you are right or wrong for now. The most important thing is, can you make money in the long run?

Bill Gross has scaling back bets against the value of US government debt since May. Look at his PIMCO Total Retrun fund, if you were investing US$10,000 with Bill Gross since the fund started, you money will have become $71,028 as July 2011. That is 710% return! I am sure Bill Gross has made some other mistakes during the years. but does it really matter?

PIMCO Total Return Fund Performance (Source: Pimco Website)

 

Who Will Buy Treasuries When The Fed Doesn’t?

Category : Fixed Income, Unit Trust

One month before Standard & Poor warned of downgrade US treasury debt’s AAA rating, Bill Gross, managing director and co-CIO of PIMCO, asks: “Who Will Buy Treasuries When The Fed Doesn’t?

His Answer: “I Don’t Know”; And Now Gross is Out Of Risk

In March PIMCO was dumping everything related to US rates, Pimco’s flagship Total Return Fund (TRF) has now taken an active short position in US government debt: -3% on a Market Value basis (or $7.1 billion), and a whopping -18% on a Duration Weighted Exposure basis. See the allocation information from fund factsheet below:

Pimco Total Return Bond Fund Allocation as Mar 2011

The world’s largest “bond” fund now has cash, at a stunning $73 billion, or 31% of all assets, as its largest asset class on both a relative and absolute basis. Cash is more than PIMCO’s holdings of Treasurys and Mortgage securities ($66 billion) combined.

Read this article for more information

When times are uncertain, multi-asset is the key

Category : Market Commentary, Unit Trust

September was probably the best month for most equity markets. Both stocks and equity funds have regained their grounds and recouped their losses.

Leading the winners were equity funds of South East Asia like Thailand and Philippines, which have surged more than 20% in the third quarter.

Though falling behind other equity markets, the US government has vowed to implement their controversial QE2 (Quantitative Easing) with the aim to boost the economy. US Treasuries have rallied for four weeks on Feb Deb-Purchase outlook.

Gold, of course, cannot be overlooked as it has reached a record high of $1,366 an ounce.

At the same time, the darkness of fear is spreading.

The currency war has started, while BOJ (Bank of Japan) jumped back into zero interest rates to depreciate the JPY currency, however, the US dollar has dropped to a 15-year low against the yen.

Oil price is also quietly climbing up (though overshone by Gold).

Contrary to US and Japan, China has maintained its tight monetary policy to cool down the property market. People have started to wonder if the stock market has moved up too fast without sufficient fundamentals.

All these have left investors with much uncertainty about where the market is going. On one hand, investors still remember the 2008 stock market collapse vividly. On the other hand, no one wants to be left behind the wagon should the markets soar.

Diversification and Asset Allocation is the key. Investors should have an actively managed basket of equities, fixed income, property and commodities in the global markets.

However, in the current dynamic market, it is very hard for a normal retail investor to construct and Re-balance such a portfolio in an efficient manner. Fortunately, actively managed multi-asset funds are available.

Take 4 stars rated MorningStar Schroders Multi-Asset Revolution Fund for example. The fund is comprises mainly of:

  • Asian Bond Absolute Return
  • Global Bond
  • Emerging Markets Debt Absolute Return
  • Global Inflation Linked Bond
  • Global Equity Alpha
  • Global Property Securities
  • Pacific Equity
  • Singapore Fixed Income Fund
  • Global Smaller Companies
  • Euro Corporate Bond

The fund is also featured by TheEdge Singapore this week.

From the 3-year fund performance chart below, you can see that the diversified nature of the fund allows it to cushion the stock market plunge during the 2008 financial crisis and still ride on the market rebound, as  compared to the MSCI World Index and Emerging Market Index.

3 Year Fund Performance - Schroder Multi-Asset and DWS Premier Select (source: iFast)

You may also take note of the 3-year volatility of merely 12% to 14%, which implies lower portfolio risk.

The chart above also includes the DWS Premier Select Trust which is managed by Deutsche Asset Management. The fund has outperformed benchmarks for the past 12 years since it changed its mandate in 1998. With its strategic allocation for

  • Singapore equity
  • Gold
  • Asian Property, etc,

it could help well complement Schroders Multi-Asset Revolution Fund which focuses on other regions.

WSJ – A Top Bond Manager Wins by Ignoring His Benchmark

Category : Unit Trust

Come across this useful article from Wall Street Journal. The original article can also be assessed here:

Dr. Michael Hasenstab has led the Templeton Global Bond fund to the top of Morningstar Inc.’s world-bond category over the past decade. He got to No. 1 partly by saying no. No, that is, to strictly modeling his portfolio after a bond index, as many managers do.

The portfolios of funds in the world-bond category read like a who’s who of countries with debt woes. Most funds have very little exposure to Greece, which has asked the European Union and International Monetary Fund for help in paying its debts. But the average fund has lots of exposure to other, larger countries whose debt burdens loom large as a percentage of their overall economies-with nearly 30% of the typical portfolio in U.S. debt, 9% in Japan, 7% in the U.K. and smatterings in countries such as Spain and Italy.

The reason: Most fund managers base investment decisions on the composition of the index against which their funds-and often their paychecks-are measured. If managers don’t like a country’s outlook, they’ll usually “underweight” their holdings of its debt relative to the index-but they’ll usually still own some of it.

The problem, says Dr. Hasenstab, is that historically most indexes have been market-weighted, which means they are heavily tilted toward the countries with the most debt. He asks the key question: “Do you want to lend to the countries with the highest debt?”

His answer: “Not always, especially in this environment.”

So he takes a different approach, which has helped Templeton Global Bond, a fund that invests in government debt, to a 12% average annual return over the past decade. If Dr. Hasenstab and his team don’t like a country’s fiscal and economic outlook, they won’t own its debt. Of late Templeton Global Bond has held no debt from Japan or the U.K., and no U.S. Treasurys.

Instead, Dr. Hasenstab is more than willing to own big slugs of bonds from countries that have virtually no representation in the fund’s benchmark, the Citigroup World Government Bond Index, as long as they have strong fiscal policies and healthy economies. That’s a move that in most fund companies would have marketing executives complaining about “style drift.” For Dr. Hasenstab it has meant stakes in Brazil, Australia and South Korea.

As the economies of such countries bounce back more strongly than others, their central banks are tightening monetary policy, which isn’t good news for bondholders. But Mr. Hasenstab thinks he has positioned the portfolio to cushion any impact from higher short-term interest rates.

Time will tell on that front. But as a well-known technology company once said, sometimes it pays to “think different.”

AIG International Funds changed to PineBridge Investments

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Category : Unit Trust

On 26th March 2010, a portion of the investment advisory and asset management business of AIG, now known as PineBridge Investments was completed.  PineBridge Investments is now owned by an affiliate of Bridge Partners, L.P., a company owned by Pacific Century Group, and is no longer a property of American International Group, INC (AIG).

With effect from 4th January 2010, the Manager of AIG International Funds changed its name to PineBridge Investments Singapore Limited. Following this global rebranding initiative, changes will be made to the names of the Scheme and the relevant sub-funds constituted under the Scheme, which are distributed on our platform.

With effect from 7 April 2010, the name of the Scheme will be changed from AIG International Funds to PineBridge International Funds and the sub-funds will be renamed as follows:

Existing name of sub-fund New name of sub-fund
AIG International Funds – Acorns of Asia Balanced Fund PineBridge International Funds – Acorns of Asia Balanced Fund
AIG International Funds – Singapore Bond Fund PineBridge International Funds – Singapore Bond Fund

There will be no change to the fees and expenses currently charged by the sub-funds. The above mentioned rebranding will not result in changes to Pinebridge Investments’ daily investment management activities and policies.

Franklin Templeton win 12 Lipper Fund Awards

Category : Unit Trust

Franklin Templeton Investments one of the most recognized names in investment management worldwide. It has been honoured with 12 awards at this year’s The Edge-Lipper Singapore Fund Awards1.

Equity

Franklin European Growth Fund
Best Fund over 5 Years – Equity Europe

Franklin European Small-Mid Cap Growth Fund
Best Fund over 3 & 5 Years – Equity Europe Small and Mid Cap

Franklin Mutual Beacon Fund
Best Fund over 10 Years – Equity North America

Templeton Global Fund
Best Fund over 10 Years – Equity Global


Balanced

Templeton Global Income Fund

Best Fund over 3 Years – Mixed Asset USD Balanced – Global


Fixed Income

Templeton Asian Bond Fund

Best Fund over 3 Years – Bond Asia Pacific

Templeton Emerging Markets Bond Fund
Best Fund over 3 & 5 Years – Bond Emerging Markets Global

Templeton Global Bond Fund
Best Fund over 10 Years – Bond Global

Templeton Global Total Return Fund
Best Fund over 3 & 5 Years – Bond Global

 

Notice of Credit Event for PRU 3PLUS

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Category : Unit Trust

Prudential Asset Management announced that Swapcounter Party has given an official notification that a restructuring credit event had occurred in respect of Aiful Corporation.

The Reference Portfolio had a 0.25% in Aiful Corporation. The recovery rate of Aiful Corporation is expected to be 40%.

For more information, please refer to the notice from Prudential Asset Management below:

Notice_of_Credit_Event_for_PRU_3PLUS

Dividend Payout for FTIF-Templeton Global Bond Fund Class A (MDIS) SGD

Category : Unit Trust

This is one of the very few funds which survived the recession and made remarkable returns for their investors.

You may contact us for professional advice to invest this fund

Declaration Date : 6 November 2009
Dividend Rate per unit : SGD 0.042
Ex Date : 9 November 2009
Reinvestment/ Pay out Date : 16 November 2009
Reinvestment Price : SGD 11.12

FTIF-GlobalBond

Fund Fact Sheet

AXA Secure Ascent 2020 Fund

Category : Unit Trust

As a smart investor, you know that you need to plan ahead to achieve financial security and you’re constantly looking for investments that will help you to stretch your dollar to counter rising inflation. You want to enjoy the highs of bull markets and yet stay secure during the market downturns. It sounds like an impossible dream, but AXA Secure Ascent 2020 Fund does just that for you so that you enjoy only the highs and never the lows when the fund matures.

If you invest in Secure Ascent 2020 Fund, you will enjoy the highest Unit Price reached every day till 2020

A lifecycle fund packed with extras every investor will love:
-     Pay-out maturity would be the highest daily Secure Price reached during the life of the fund
-     A unique lock-in feature protects the fund’s growth every time its daily value reaches a new high
-     Asset allocation adjusts automatically as buffer to market volatility
-     Cash and equity components balanced so you enjoy potential highs of equities with managed risk